Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 4.804443 5.218275 5.666791 6.191745 6.792833 7.463856 8.275624
2025-03-09 4.072558 4.625844 5.268357 6.080179 7.094209 8.341116 10.026920
2025-03-16 3.663024 4.286185 5.044496 6.055876 7.403214 9.189936 11.840015
2025-03-23 3.430854 4.111982 4.973222 6.175659 7.870681 10.279722 14.189112
2025-03-30 3.140537 3.825882 4.715601 5.998499 7.882686 10.703968 15.620032
2025-04-06 2.907710 3.590032 4.495406 5.836936 7.878390 11.080523 17.041458
2025-04-13 2.718359 3.394990 4.309914 5.698375 7.879387 11.449624 18.529075
2025-04-20 2.577993 3.255055 4.187274 5.635245 7.982433 11.995163 20.501612
2025-04-27 2.513455 3.214203 4.199730 5.773496 8.424158 13.208914 24.280754
2025-05-04 2.453638 3.174683 4.208923 5.904209 8.866974 14.512749 28.837272
2025-05-11 2.360818 3.081162 4.129657 5.882554 9.034339 15.303528 32.477927
2025-05-18 2.269811 2.984766 4.038831 5.832026 9.139600 15.983356 36.167157
2025-05-25 2.151814 2.847247 3.883478 5.672269 9.044026 16.263597 39.026025
2025-06-01 2.057806 2.741867 3.773404 5.583856 9.082642 16.882040 43.576055
2025-06-08 1.986569 2.666863 3.706072 5.563368 9.253555 17.865836 50.398645
2025-06-15 1.947022 2.637717 3.709637 5.668918 9.700269 19.687523 62.983099
2025-06-22 1.859379 2.529607 3.577422 5.512902 9.562049 19.889920 67.980648
2025-06-29 1.780638 2.432029 3.457421 5.370368 9.436225 20.103332 73.494053
2025-07-06 1.711150 2.346094 3.352331 5.247937 9.340693 20.388097 80.054800
2025-07-13 1.658286 2.284325 3.284680 5.192096 9.392051 21.147372 91.475676
2025-07-20 1.639858 2.276502 3.307810 5.314334 9.882316 23.503890 122.553284
2025-07-27 1.620935 2.266819 3.326828 5.429746 10.376820 26.114708 169.503067
2025-08-03 1.581453 2.221894 3.281705 5.410637 10.527026 27.526718 211.171396